--- title: "Two Y-Axes Scaled to Look Correlated" summary: "Two unrelated series on two independent axes, engineered to look correlated." poke: "Two y-axes, scaled until the lines overlap — and suddenly anything 'causes' anything." category: "False Relationships" severity: 5 tags: ["dual axis", "correlation", "line chart"] badChart: "dual-axis-bad" fixedChart: "dual-axis-fixed" date: 2026-08-05 citations: - key: datatoviz note: "Lists “using two Y axes” as a top caveat — a way to manipulate the story." - key: spurious note: "Thousands of nonsense correlations: proof that “they move together” proves nothing." - key: howchartslie note: "Cairo on how aligned axes manufacture relationships that aren’t there." - key: swd note: "Knaflic’s standing advice: avoid the second axis; separate or index instead." --- ## The sin Put two series on the same plot with two independent y-axes and you can make *anything* look correlated. Slide the scales until the lines overlap and the reader's brain does the rest: "these move together, so one must cause the other." ## Why it deceives With independent axes, the vertical position of each line is arbitrary — you chose it. Overlapping lines imply a relationship that exists only because you tuned two scales to coincide. Ice cream sales and shark attacks both rise in summer; neither causes the other. The shared season is the hidden variable. ## The repentance Don't force two series into one coordinate space just to imply a link. Show them in **separate, stacked panels** with honest zero-based scales. If you truly want to argue they move together, plot one **against** the other (a scatter plot) and let the reader judge the relationship — don't manufacture it with axis scaling.